Associate Professor of Economics
I am an Associate Professor of Economics at the University of São Paulo. My research uses causal inference methods and large-scale administrative data to study how regulatory and policy environments shape economic behavior and institutions.
I am increasingly drawn to applied questions in public economics where causal evidence can speak to consequential policy debates. Current projects examine the effects of AI adoption on labor markets in emerging economies, how time-of-use and dynamic electricity tariffs reshape peak and off-peak consumption, and the economics of environmental compliance and climate adaptation. A longer-standing line of research, now less central to my work, studies how media environments, platform governance, and the spread of misinformation shape political and economic outcomes.
Applied Econometrics & Causal Inference · Quantitative Methods for Policy Evaluation · Public Economics · Labor Economics · Political Economy
Publications
Media Manipulation in Young Democracies: Evidence from the 1989 Brazilian Presidential Election
Comparative Political Studies, 2024Replication: Harvard Dataverse
Policy Enforcement in the Presence of Organized Crime: Evidence from Rio de Janeiro
Journal of Development Economics, 2023Coverage: Piauí Magazine
Under Pressure: Women's Leadership During the COVID-19 Crisis
Journal of Development Economics, 2022Replication: data & code
Coverage: BBC Brasil · BBC Mundo · BBC Afrique · Foreign Policy · Folha de São Paulo · G1 · Globo News · O Povo · UOL · El Espectador · La Nación · El Comercio
Working Papers
AEA Registry: AEARCTR-0011363
Presented at: LACEA EGAP session (2024) · Brazilian Econometric Society (2024)
Do Set-Aside Auctions Pay Off? Evidence from Brazil
SubmittedPresented at: European Economic Association (2025) · UPF Applied Seminar (2025) · Charles University (2024) · Utrecht University (2024) · Ghent University (2024)
Generative AI and Labor Markets in Emerging Economies: Evidence from Brazil
SubmittedThe Limits of Time-of-Use Tariffs: Causal Evidence on Load Shifting in Brazil
Draft available upon requestInvited presentation: USAEE North American Conference (2026)
Extreme Heat, Mortality, and Health Insurance Coverage in Brazil
Working Paper — link coming soonPopulism and Environmental Enforcement in Brazil
Working Paper — link coming soonCan Entertainment Media Undermine Dictatorships?
Presented at: Bocconi University (BREAD/CEPR/PODER) · UC Berkeley · Yale University · NYU · LSE STICERD · PUC-Rio · University of São Paulo · São Paulo School of Economics · Brazilian Econometric Society · CEPR Political Economy Webinar
Severing the Pipeline: Platform Bans and Misinformation in Closed Messaging Networks
SubmittedWork in Progress
The Impact of Principal Leadership Practices on Student Achievement in Brazilian Schools
Behavioral and Economic Impacts of Tariff Innovations in the Brazilian Electricity Market
AEA RCT Registry: AEARCTR-0015658 · AEARCTR-0016313
Teaching
I teach undergraduate and graduate courses in Econometrics, Quantitative Methods, and Applied Microeconomics at the University of São Paulo (FEA-USP). My course evaluations are consistently among the highest in the department — for instance, 9.5/10 against a 8.1 department average in Econometrics II (evaluations in Portuguese — translations in Spanish and English).
Policy Work
I collaborate with governments, NGOs, and firms on program evaluation, bringing randomized and quasi-experimental methods to policy questions across areas including education, management assessment, and electricity markets.