Luis Meloni

Luis Meloni

Associate Professor of Economics

I am an Associate Professor of Economics at the University of São Paulo. My research uses causal inference methods and large-scale administrative data to study how regulatory and policy environments shape economic behavior and institutions.

I am increasingly drawn to applied questions in public economics where causal evidence can speak to consequential policy debates. Current projects examine the effects of AI adoption on labor markets in emerging economies, how time-of-use and dynamic electricity tariffs reshape peak and off-peak consumption, and the economics of environmental compliance and climate adaptation. A longer-standing line of research, now less central to my work, studies how media environments, platform governance, and the spread of misinformation shape political and economic outcomes.

Applied Econometrics & Causal Inference · Quantitative Methods for Policy Evaluation · Public Economics · Labor Economics · Political Economy

Publications

Policy Enforcement in the Presence of Organized Crime: Evidence from Rio de Janeiro

with R. Bruce (Insper), A. Cavgias (U. Ghent)

Journal of Development Economics, 2023

Under Pressure: Women's Leadership During the COVID-19 Crisis

with R. Bruce (Insper), A. Cavgias (U. Ghent), M. Remígio (USP)

Journal of Development Economics, 2022

Working Papers

Public economics

From Stories to Skills: The Impact of Narrative-Based Financial Education on Students' Knowledge and Behavior

with R. Serson (J-PAL), R. Madeira (USP)

Economics of Education Review — Revise & Resubmit
Public economics

Do Set-Aside Auctions Pay Off? Evidence from Brazil

with A. Cavgias (U. Ghent), D. Fazio (NSU), V. Titl (U. Utrecht)

Public economics

Generative AI and Labor Markets in Emerging Economies: Evidence from Brazil

with T. Aguirre (Centre for the Governance of AI)

Public economics

The Limits of Time-of-Use Tariffs: Causal Evidence on Load Shifting in Brazil

with R. Moita (USP), H. Rodrigues, C. Lucinda (USP), L. Pereira, L. Lyrio, L. E. da Rocha, C. Stefanello, T. Chaves

Draft available upon request
Public economics

Extreme Heat, Mortality, and Health Insurance Coverage in Brazil

Working Paper — link coming soon
Public economics

Populism and Environmental Enforcement in Brazil

Working Paper — link coming soon
Political economy

Can Entertainment Media Undermine Dictatorships?

with A. Chong, C. Ferraz, F. Finan, E. La Ferrara

Political economy

Media as Political Currency

with A. Alberti (USP), A. Cavgias (U. Ghent)

Political economy

Severing the Pipeline: Platform Bans and Misinformation in Closed Messaging Networks

with A. Cavgias (U. Ghent), F. Bailez (Palver), T. Rotesi (U. Turin)

Work in Progress

Public economics

The Impact of Principal Leadership Practices on Student Achievement in Brazilian Schools

with R. Madeira (USP), M. Villaça (FGV-EAESP), M. Sarabanda (BNDES)

Public economics

Behavioral and Economic Impacts of Tariff Innovations in the Brazilian Electricity Market

with Claudio Lucinda (USP) and Rodrigo Moita (USP)

Teaching

I teach undergraduate and graduate courses in Econometrics, Quantitative Methods, and Applied Microeconomics at the University of São Paulo (FEA-USP). My course evaluations are consistently among the highest in the department — for instance, 9.5/10 against a 8.1 department average in Econometrics II (evaluations in Portuguese — translations in Spanish and English).

Econometrics II: Causal Inference
Undergraduate
Panel Data Econometrics
Undergraduate
Microeconomics
Undergraduate
Political Economy
Graduate / Undergraduate
Statistics
Undergraduate
Research Methods
Undergraduate

Policy Work

I collaborate with governments, NGOs, and firms on program evaluation, bringing randomized and quasi-experimental methods to policy questions across areas including education, management assessment, and electricity markets.

luis.meloni@usp.br

Department of Economics · University of São Paulo · São Paulo, Brazil